Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.