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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
SR-Bank Arena
Sligo Rovers

Viking FK
5 - 1
Sligo

Tripic (4'), Fridjonsson (8'), Traore (53'), Sandberg (60'), Austbo (86')
Vevatne (11'), Brekalo (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cawley (89' pen.)
Buckley (22'), Morahan (56'), Pijnaker (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Viking FK and Sligo Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viking FK 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Motherwell
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Viking FK 2-0 Sligo Rovers

Given the manner of their victory over Motherwell, Sligo Rovers cannot be ruled out of this contest. However, there is a feeling that they are making a step up in class, and Viking will be particularly confident about controlling the home leg and earning a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.

Result
Viking FKDrawSligo Rovers
46.93% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.24% (-0.023 -0.02) 28.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (0.078000000000003 0.08)44.72% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (0.073 0.07)67.08% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Viking FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)19.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (0.111 0.11)50.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Viking FK 46.93%
    Sligo Rovers 28.84%
    Draw 24.23%
Viking FKDrawSligo Rovers
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Viking FK vs Sligo

Viking FK
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sligo Rovers
14.3%
35
rhs 2.0
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