UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

SR-Bank Arena

Viking FK
5 - 1
Sligo

(Viking FK win 5-2 on aggregate)

Tripic (4'), Fridjonsson (8'), Traore (53'), Sandberg (60'), Austbo (86')
Vevatne (11'), Brekalo (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cawley (89' pen.)
Buckley (22'), Morahan (56'), Pijnaker (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Viking FK and Sligo Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viking FK

Last Six:

Last Game: Viking FK 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Rosenborg	16	10	28
5	Viking FK	17	7	28
6	Valerenga Fotball	16	-1	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.

Result
Viking FK	Draw	Sligo Rovers
46.93% ( 0.09)	24.24% ( -0.02)	28.84% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.52% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

0.08)

44.72% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

0.07)

67.08% (

-0.07)

Viking FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

0.07)

19.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

0.11)

50.85% (

-0.11)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-0)

28.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

-0.01)

64.69% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Viking FK 46.93%

Sligo Rovers 28.84%

Draw 24.23%

Viking FK	Draw	Sligo Rovers
2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.84%