League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Tom Lonergan 30' goal
  • Sam Todd 44' yellowcard
  • Donal Higgins 77' yellowcard
  • Sam Todd 81' redcard
  • John Ryan 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Flores 37'
  • goal Liam Burt 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jordan Flores 71'
  • goal Dawson Devoy 90'

University College Dublin vs Bohemians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk 3 - 0 UCD
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Lonergan

Bohemians

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Bohemians 2 - 3 Derry
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dawson Devoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.77%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.

Result

University College Dublin 15.07% (+0.26)
Draw 22.74% (+0.83)
Bohemians 62.18% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.31% (-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.92% (-2.69)
Under 2.5 54.08% (+2.68)
Over 3.5 24.49% (-2.30)
Under 3.5 75.51% (+2.29)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 52.15% (-1.27)
Under 0.5 47.85% (+1.26)
Over 1.5 16.88% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 83.12% (+0.95)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5 83.04% (-1.30)
Under 0.5 16.96% (+1.30)
Over 1.5 52.95% (-2.35)
Under 1.5 47.04% (+2.35)

Score analysis

University College Dublin 15.07%
Draw 22.74%
Bohemians 62.17%
University College Dublin
1-0 @ 5.98% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 3.91% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.2% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 15.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 8.11% (+0.82)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.74%
Bohemians
0-1 @ 14.39% (+0.88)
0-2 @ 12.77% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 7.56% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.35)
0-4 @ 3.35% (-0.24)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.21)
0-5 @ 1.19% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 62.17%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Junior Ogedi-Uzokwe 43' goal
  • Dawson Devoy 65' goal
  • Promise Omochere 69' goal
  • yellowcard Donal Higgins 28'
  • yellowcard Liam Kerrigan 63'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Donal Higgins 52' yellowcard
  • Sam Todd 68' goal
  • 78' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Omochere 6'