Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.77%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.