League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26

Aug 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
1 - 1
Derry

Hoban (90+3')
Sloggett (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akintunde (12')
Glass (8'), McEleney (45+3'), Maher (65'), Dummigan (68')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
58.44% ( -0.23)	23.4% ( 0.01)	18.16% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15% (

0.26)

51.85% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

0.22)

73.61% (

-0.22)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

0.01)

17.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

0.02)

47.96% (

-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.48% (

0.41)

42.52% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.12% (

0.35)

78.88% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 58.44%

Derry City 18.16%

Draw 23.4%

Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 58.44%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.16%