Dundalk

2 - 1

Derry

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.