Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.