League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 28

Aug 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
1 - 2
St Patrick's

Duffy (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Timmermans (8'), Atakayi (52')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Sligo
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	25	18	45
4	St Patrick's Athletic	25	12	39
5	Sligo Rovers	25	5	35

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
21% ( -0.15)	26.2% ( -0)	52.8% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 44.02% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.31% (

-0.13)

58.68% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.77% (

-0.1)

79.22% (

0.09)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.7% (

-0.23)

43.3% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.2)

79.54% (

0.19)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

0.01)

22.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14% (

0.02)

55.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 21%

St Patrick's Athletic 52.79%

Draw 26.19%

University College Dublin	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 21%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 14.5% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.79%