UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia
0 - 1
St Patrick's

(CSKA Sofia win 2-1 on aggregate)

Yomov (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Atakayi (87')
Grivosti (35'), Cotter (49'), Breslin (58'), Lennon (61'), (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between CSKA Sofia and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

Last Game: CSKA Sofia 4-0 Makedonija
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: NS Mura 0-0 St Patrick's (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	23	18	43
4	St Patrick's Athletic	24	11	36
5	Sligo Rovers	23	5	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
41.95% ( -0.19)	25.67% ( 0.02)	32.38% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.01)

49.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.01)

71.48% (

0.01)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.09)

23.4% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

-0.14)

57.39% (

0.14)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

0.11)

28.81% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

0.14)

64.66% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 41.95%

St Patrick's Athletic 32.38%

Draw 25.67%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.95%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.38%