Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.