UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia
4 - 0
Makedonija

(CSKA Sofia win 4-0 on aggregate)

Mattheij (31'), Yomov (61'), Tufegdzic (78'), Nazon (87')
Youga (33'), Baurenski (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Emini (44'), Durdevic (55'), Lazarevikj (75')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between CSKA Sofia and Makedonija Gjorce Petrov.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

Last Game: Makedonija 0-0 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League

Makedonija Gjorce Petrov

Last Game: Makedonija 0-0 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Makedonija Gjorce Petrov had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Makedonija Gjorce Petrov win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Sofia would win this match.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	Makedonija Gjorce Petrov
43.56% ( 0.01)	22.87% ( -0.01)	33.57% ( -0)

Both teams to score 64.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.01% (

0.06)

35.99% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.92% (

0.07)

58.08% (

-0.07)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

0.03)

17.07% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75% (

0.06)

47.25% (

-0.06)

Makedonija Gjorce Petrov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.03)

21.65% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.04)

54.78% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 43.56%

Makedonija Gjorce Petrov 33.57%

Draw 22.87%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	Makedonija Gjorce Petrov
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.57%