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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
NS Mura
Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Mestni Štadion Fazanerija
St Patrick's Athletic

NS Mura
0 - 0
St Patrick's


Lorbek (41'), Daku (48'), Klepac (90+4'), Bobicanec (90+4')
Marusko (71')
FT

Brockbank (42'), Forrester (71'), O'Reilly (93')
St Patrick's win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between NS Mura and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NS Mura

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: NS Mura 2-1 St Patrick's Athletic

 We expect the Slovenians to have too much for their opponents on home territory. However, it is likely to be a game decided by the smallest of margins, with Daku's searing pace and ability in front of goal likely to prove the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NS MuraDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
44.32% (0.158 0.16) 25.3% (-0.164 -0.16) 30.38% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (0.702 0.7)48.57% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (0.637 0.64)70.69% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.369 0.37)21.9% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.558 0.56)55.15% (-0.562 -0.56)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.35899999999999 0.36)29.71% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.434 0.43)65.77% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    NS Mura 44.32%
    St Patrick's Athletic 30.38%
    Draw 25.29%
NS MuraDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: NS Mura vs St Patrick's

NS Mura
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
St Patrick's Athletic
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
1-1
NS Mura
Forrester (60')
Doyle (90+1')
Daku (28')
Pucko (3'), Bobicanec (56'), Cipot (68'), Lorbek (72')
rhs 2.0
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