Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.