Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.