League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Lonergan 51' goal
  • Dylan Duffy 79' goal
  • Tom Lonergan 87' goal
  • goal Keith Ward 39'
  • goal Steven Bradley 57'

University College Dublin vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Derry 3 - 0 UCD
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Lonergan

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

University College Dublin 15.02% (+0.24)
Draw 22.49% (+0.01)
Dundalk 62.49% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.89% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.77% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 53.22% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 25.21% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 74.79% (-0.32)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 52.6% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 47.4% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 17.21% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 82.79% (-0.42)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 83.45% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 16.55% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 53.68% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 46.32% (-0.10)

Score analysis

University College Dublin 15.02%
Draw 22.49%
Dundalk 62.48%
University College Dublin
1-0 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.93% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 2.19% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 15.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.54% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.49%
Dundalk
0-1 @ 14.11% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 12.69% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 9.48% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 7.61% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.68% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.05)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.48%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David McMillan 51' goal
  • Joe Adams 57' goal
  • Keith Ward 90'+3' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dara Keane 23' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 60' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 75' goal
  • Colm Whelan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Doyle 18'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • redcard Darragh Leahy 45'+1'
  • redcard Andy Boyle 45'+1'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 54'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 74'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 16' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 48' goal
  • yellowcard 76'