Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.