League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 29

Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
3 - 0
UCD

Graydon (5'), Diallo (71'), Duffy (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (62'), Brennan (75')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	University College Dublin
74.64% ( -0.96)	16.84% ( 0.58)	8.53% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 40.64% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

-1.21)

45.89% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

-1.16)

68.21% (

1.17)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.33% (

-0.56)

10.67% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.45% (

-1.29)

34.55% (

1.29)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.49% (

0.15)

54.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.42% (

0.09)

87.59% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Derry City 74.63%

University College Dublin 8.53%

Draw 16.84%

Derry City	Draw	University College Dublin
2-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.63%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.84%	0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.53% Total : 8.53%