Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Aug 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Derry City

Shelbourne
0 - 1
Derry


McManus (52'), Boyd (90+4'), Kane (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Graydon (90+1')
Diallo (35'), Dummigan (53')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

Last Six:
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Derry
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
28.99% (0.11 0.11)27.95% (0.148 0.15)43.06% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.48 -0.48)59.44% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.372 -0.37)79.81% (0.367 0.37)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.174 -0.17)36.42% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.175 -0.17)73.21% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)27.36% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.476 -0.48)62.81% (0.472 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 28.98%
    Derry City 43.05%
    Draw 27.95%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 12.91% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 43.05%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-2
Shelbourne
Akintunde (30')
Dummigan (47')
Farrell (68'), McManus (75')
Thomas (16'), O'Driscoll (21'), Byrne (40'), Carr (76'), Dervin (78'), Boyd (90+2')
Dervin (90+1')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Shelbourne
0-1
Derry

Boyd (35')
McEleney (73')
(87')
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Derry
2-0
Shelbourne
Thomson (19'), Figueira (62')
Cherrie (72'), Clifford (90')

(78')
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Derry
P-P
Shelbourne
Aug 15, 2020 5pm
Shelbourne
1-1
Derry
Brennan (76')
Quinn (61'), Kabia (90+3')
Meite (32' pen.)
Cherrie (68')