Club Friendlies 3
Jan 13, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 12.00am
Envigado 0 - 0 Medellin

Atletico Bucaramanga

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.44% and a win for Atletico Bucaramanga had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Atletico Bucaramanga win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Medellin 45.35%
Draw 28.44%
Atletico Bucaramanga 26.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.12%
Under 1.5 31.88%
Over 2.5 42.74%
Under 2.5 57.26%
Over 3.5 20.98%
Under 3.5 79.02%
Over 4.5 10.86%
Under 4.5 89.14%

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 34.3%
Draw 45.45%
Atletico Bucaramanga 20.25%

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 53.08%
No Goal 10.42%
Atletico Bucaramanga 36.5%

Corners

Over 8 50.25%
Equal 8 12.59%
Under 8 37.16%
Over 9 38.15%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 49.75%
Over 10.5 27.53%
Under 10.5 72.47%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 39.84%
Under 1.5 60.16%
Over 2.5 15.09%
Under 2.5 84.91%
Over 3.5 4.97%
Under 3.5 95.03%

Atletico Bucaramanga Goals

Over 0.5 59.51%
Under 0.5 40.49%
Over 1.5 24.58%
Under 1.5 75.42%
Over 2.5 7.74%
Under 2.5 92.26%
Over 3.5 1.78%
Under 3.5 98.22%

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 45.36%
Draw 28.44%
Atletico Bucaramanga 26.22%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 45.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.44%
Atletico Bucaramanga
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.22%