Copa Sudamericana
May 30, 2024 1.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Brayan Muniz 31' yellowcard
  • Brayan Muniz 31' yellowcard
  • Mender Garcia 47' goal
  • Mender Garcia 47' goal
  • Alain Baroja Mendez 53' goal
  • Alain Baroja Mendez 53' goal
  • Brayan Muniz 55' goal
  • Brayan Muniz 55' goal
  • Yairo Moreno 82' goal
  • Yairo Moreno 82' goal
  • Jaime Alvarado 84' yellowcard
  • Jaime Alvarado 84' yellowcard
  • Juan David Arizala 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Caicedo 30'
  • yellowcard Luis Caicedo 30'
  • yellowcard Jose Carabali 39'
  • yellowcard Jose Carabali 39'
  • yellowcard Wesley Tanque 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Wesley Tanque 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Suarez 72'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Suarez 72'
  • yellowcard Diego Medina 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Medina 90'+3'

Independiente Medellin vs Always Ready - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 15, 2024 1.00am
Defensa 1 - 1 Medellin

Always Ready

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 16, 2024 3.00am
Cesar Vallejo 2 - 2 Always Ready

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result

Independiente Medellin 53.47% (+0.07)
Draw 23.82% (+0.37)
Always Ready 22.7% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.03% (-2.04)
Under 2.5 47.96% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 29.86% (-1.91)
Under 3.5 70.13% (+1.90)
Over 4.5 14.57% (-1.34)
Under 4.5 85.42% (+1.33)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 82.13% (-0.74)
Under 0.5 17.87% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 51.36% (-1.28)
Under 1.5 48.63% (+1.27)

Always Ready Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% (-1.54)
Under 0.5 35.51% (+1.53)
Over 1.5 27.72% (-1.62)
Under 1.5 72.28% (+1.61)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 53.47%
Draw 23.82%
Always Ready 22.7%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.92% (+0.66)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.41% (+0.35)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 5.4% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.52)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.24)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 23.82%
Always Ready
0-1 @ 6.57% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.7%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2024 3.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal El Alto
  • Wesley Tanque 34' yellowcard
  • Wesley Tanque 34' yellowcard
  • Wesley Tanque 45' goal
  • Wesley Tanque 45' goal
  • Pablo Lima 55' goal
  • Pablo Lima 55' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Manuel Orejuela 34'
  • yellowcard Luis Manuel Orejuela 34'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lima 65'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lima 65'