Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
4 - 0
Always Ready

Garcia (47', 47'), Baroja Mendez (53' og., 53' og.), Muniz (55', 55'), Moreno (82', 82')
Muniz (31'), Muniz (31'), Alvarado (84'), Alvarado (84'), David Arizala (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Caicedo (30'), Caicedo (30'), Carabali (39'), Carabali (39'), Tanque (45+4'), Tanque (45+4'), Suarez (72'), Suarez (72'), Medina (90+3'), (90+3'), Medina (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Always Ready.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Medellin
Wednesday, May 15 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Always Ready

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Always Ready
Thursday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawAlways Ready
53.47% (0.062999999999995 0.06)23.82% (0.368 0.37)22.7% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-1.737 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-2.038 -2.04)47.96% (2.03 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-1.904 -1.9)70.13% (1.896 1.9)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)17.87% (0.725 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-1.271 -1.27)48.63% (1.262 1.26)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-1.53 -1.53)35.51% (1.521 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72% (-1.616 -1.62)72.28% (1.607 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 53.47%
    Always Ready 22.7%
    Draw 23.82%
Independiente MedellinDrawAlways Ready
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.65 0.65)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.348 0.35)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.47%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.518 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.281 0.28)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.7%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Always Ready
2-0
Medellin
Tanque (45'), Lima (55' og.)
Tanque (34')

Manuel Orejuela (34'), Lima (65')