Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Medellin

Always Ready
2 - 0
Medellin

Tanque (45', 45'), Lima (55' og., 55' og.)
Tanque (34'), Tanque (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Manuel Orejuela (34'), Manuel Orejuela (34'), Lima (65'), Lima (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Always Ready and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

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Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Always Ready (5-4 pen.)
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Independiente Medellin

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Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Medellin (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Always Ready in this match.

Result
Always ReadyDrawIndependiente Medellin
65.42% (0.11500000000001 0.12)20.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)14.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.488 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)46.88% (0.447 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.42 -0.42)69.13% (0.42 0.42)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)13.52% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (-0.212 -0.21)40.57% (0.211 0.21)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.496 -0.5)44.85% (0.495 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.4 -0.4)80.82% (0.401 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Always Ready 65.41%
    Independiente Medellin 14.12%
    Draw 20.47%
Always ReadyDrawIndependiente Medellin
2-0 @ 12.14% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.1% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.05% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.86% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.12%

rhs 2.0


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