Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Cristal
3 - 1
Always Ready

Cauteruccio (36', 36', 46', 46', 78', 78')
Cazonatti (44'), Cazonatti (44'), Alfredo Solis Salinas (45+5'), Tavara (45+6'), Solis (45+5'), Tavara (45+6'), Chavez (85'), Chavez (85')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Terrazas Abasto (16'), Terrazas (16')
Terrazas Abasto (45+6'), Terrazas (45+6'), Cuellar (54'), Cuellar (54')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sporting Cristal and Always Ready.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

Last Game: Always Ready 6-1 Cristal
Wednesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Always Ready

Last Game: Always Ready 6-1 Cristal
Wednesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Always Ready win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.

Result
Sporting Cristal	Draw	Always Ready
67.68% ( 0.09)	18.53% ( -0.02)	13.78% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.36% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

-0.07)

38.91% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

-0.07)

61.23% (

0.07)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.44%

10.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.7% (

0.01)

34.29% (

-0.01)

Always Ready Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.65% (

-0.15)

40.34% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03% (

-0.13)

76.97% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Sporting Cristal 67.68%

Always Ready 13.78%

Draw 18.53%

Sporting Cristal	Draw	Always Ready
2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 4.44% Total : 67.68%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.53%	1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.78%