Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
Jun 28, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Cristal
  • German Cano 22' goal
  • German Cano 22' goal
  • goal Brenner 37'
  • goal Brenner 37'

Fluminense vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 1.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Fluminense

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 3.00am
The Strongest 1 - 2 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 67% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 19.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Sporting Cristal 13.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 88.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 63.33%
Under 1.5 36.66% ▼ (-0.01)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 57.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 21.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fluminense 66.99%
Draw 19.21%
Sporting Cristal 13.79%
Fluminense
2-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 66.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.21%
Sporting Cristal
0-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 13.79%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Cristal
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Fluminense
  • Joao Grimaldo 18' goal
  • goal German Cano 35'
  • goal German Cano 59'
  • goal Vitor Mendes 81'

Form Data

Fluminense 2 - 1 Bahia
Fluminense 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goias 2 - 2 Fluminense
River Plate 2 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bragantino
Flamengo 2 - 0 Fluminense
The Strongest 1 - 2 Cristal
Cristal 1 - 1 River Plate
Cristal 1 - 0 The Strongest
River Plate 4 - 2 Cristal
Cristal 1 - 3 Fluminense
Cristal 1 - 0 Huracan