Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Sporting Cristal

Fluminense
1 - 1
Cristal

Cano (22', 22')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Brenner (37', 37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Sporting Cristal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Cristal
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawSporting Cristal
67% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)13.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)11.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33%36.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)42.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.73% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 66.99%
    Sporting Cristal 13.79%
    Draw 19.21%
FluminenseDrawSporting Cristal
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 66.99%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Cristal

Fluminense
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Sporting Cristal
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Cristal
1-3
Fluminense
Grimaldo (18')
Cano (35', 59'), Mendes (81')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!