Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2023 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Lele 49' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 51' goal
  • goal Vinicius Mingotti 28'

Fluminense vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
German Cano

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result

Fluminense 63.48% (+0.49)
Draw 21.4% (-0.18)
Bahia 15.13% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.27% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.23% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 48.77% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 29.13% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 70.87% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 14.07% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 85.93% (-0.10)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 85.28% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 14.72% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 57.08% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 42.92% (-0.40)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 55.43% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 44.57% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 19.42% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 80.58% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Fluminense 63.47%
Draw 21.39%
Bahia 15.13%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.56% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 12.04% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.69% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.22% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.68% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 63.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.39%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.13%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 5, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gilberto 39' goal
  • Gilberto 45'+2' goal
  • Rossi 66' redcard
  • Gilberto 73' yellowcard
  • Juninho Capixaba 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luccas Claro 37'
  • yellowcard Wellington Martins 62'
  • redcard Manoel 66'
  • yellowcard Yago 70'
  • yellowcard Fred 72'
  • yellowcard Raul Bobadilla 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 30, 2021 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucca 36' goal
  • Nino 41' yellowcard
  • Andre 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Raul Bobadilla 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Rossi 29'
  • yellowcard Patrick de Lucca 35'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 77'
  • yellowcard German Conti 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Feb 4, 2021 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Juninho Capixaba 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nino 17'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 33'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Oct 11, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danilo Barcelos 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nene 71' goal
  • Digao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danielzinho 53'
  • yellowcard Lucas Fonseca 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Marco Antonio 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 12, 2019 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Nene 20' goal
  • Danielzinho 45' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 19'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 26, 2019 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Artur 6' yellowcard
  • Artur 16' goal
  • Gilberto 30' goal
  • Gilberto 69' goal
  • Moises 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuri 6'
  • goal Pedro 19'
  • yellowcard Agenor 63'
  • redcard Agenor 66'
  • goal Joao Pedro 80'
  • yellowcard Nino 85'