Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Fluminense
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: River Plate 2-1 Fluminense
The manner of the defeat in the reverse fixture naturally left River Plate stunned and in a position where qualification is no longer deemed to be a foregone conclusion. However, they are a different side at home, and we feel that their battling qualities will lead to a potentially-decisive victory over the group leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Fluminense |
54.15% ( 0.38) | 22.92% ( -0.02) | 22.93% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.2% ( -0.27) | 43.8% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.81% ( -0.27) | 66.19% ( 0.27) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( 0.04) | 16.11% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( 0.07) | 45.52% ( -0.07) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( -0.46) | 33% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( -0.51) | 69.59% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate 54.16%
Fluminense 22.93%
Draw 22.92%
River Plate | Draw | Fluminense |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.93% |
How you voted: River Plate vs Fluminense
River Plate
68.4%Draw
15.8%Fluminense
15.8%19
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Fluminense
5-1
River Plate
May 25, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
River Plate
1-3
Fluminense
Apr 22, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Fluminense
1-1
River Plate
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-05 20:22:51
ET
Bromley
2-2
Solihull
Pens.
(3-3)
ET
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
Pens.
(3-2)
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Rublev
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Man Utd suffer major injury blow ahead of FA Cup final
2
Crystal Palace vs. Man Utd injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
3
"More like ourselves" - Postecoglou takes positives from fourth straight defeat
4
Bayern suffer double injury blow ahead of Real Madrid clash
5
Pochettino comments on Chelsea five-goal demolition of West Ham
6
Chelsea move into seventh with five-goal win over West Ham
7
Crystal Palace vs. Man Utd: Head-to-head record and past meetings
8
Liverpool stave off Spurs fightback to keep title race alive
9
Borussia Dortmund chief addresses Jadon Sancho's future
10
Messi achieves record-breaking career first in Inter Miami rout
Sport News 24/7