Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 13, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Cuiaba

Fluminense
2 - 0
Cuiaba

Nino (6'), Ganso (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-2 Fluminense
Thursday, May 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-4 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, May 11 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCuiaba
65.05% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)20.41% (0.178 0.18)14.53%
Both teams to score 48.91% (-0.576 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (-0.773 -0.77)45.8% (0.771 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (-0.739 -0.74)68.12% (0.736 0.74)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (-0.291 -0.29)13.29% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (-0.58900000000001 -0.59)40.12% (0.587 0.59)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.475 -0.48)43.59% (0.473 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.396 -0.4)79.78% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 65.05%
    Cuiaba 14.53%
    Draw 20.41%
FluminenseDrawCuiaba
2-0 @ 11.79% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 65.05%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.53%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 8pm
gameweek 21
Fluminense
1-0
Cuiaba
Cano (2')
Melo (48'), Nathan (90+4')

Gava (80')
Apr 17, 2022 1am
gameweek 2
Cuiaba
0-1
Fluminense

Andre (39'), Igor (77')
Paulao (90+2' og.)
Nino (35')
Sep 21, 2021 12am
gameweek 21
Cuiaba
2-2
Fluminense
Cafu (23' pen.), Marques (76')
Elias (64'), Cabrera (90+9')
Marllon (90+7')
Henrique (5'), Bobadilla (20')
Nonato (48'), Lucca (90+1')
Jun 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Fluminense
1-0
Cuiaba
Teixeira (40')
Martinelli (79'), Yago (90+5')

Clayson (37')