Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Vasco da Gama

Fluminense
1 - 1
Vasco

Lima (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raul (1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-1 River Plate
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Bahia
Tuesday, May 2 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawVasco da Gama
66.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)14.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 50.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79%43.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39%65.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.13%37.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.82%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 66.12%
    Vasco da Gama 14.2%
    Draw 19.66%
FluminenseDrawVasco da Gama
2-0 @ 11.45%
1-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.23%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 19.66%
0-1 @ 4.44%
1-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 14.2%

Head to Head
Dec 13, 2020 11.30pm
gameweek 25
Vasco
1-1
Fluminense
Cano (90+2')
Jadson (15'), Sa Pinto (20'), Torres (40'), Borges (45'), Matos (69'), Gil (81'), Magno (83')
Silva (9')
Silva (19'), Yago (88')
Aug 29, 2020 11pm
gameweek 6
Fluminense
2-1
Vasco
Moreira (3'), Fred (82')
Yuri (16'), Fred (90+2'), Juliao (90+4'), Silva (90+6')
Magno (86')
Bastos (12')
Magno (90+4')
Nov 2, 2019 10pm
gameweek 30
Fluminense
0-0
Vasco

Nino (31'), Gonzalez (70')

Bruno (21'), Marrony (33'), Richard (86')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Vasco
2-1
Fluminense
Castan (67'), Cesar (76')
Pikachu (21'), Marrony (36'), Reis (92'), Henrique (93')
Pedro (45')
Simoes (21'), Digao (36'), Silva (61')
Digao (57'), Frazan (74')
Nov 3, 2018 8pm
gameweek 32
Fluminense
0-1
Vasco

Luciano (72'), Digao (78'), Ibanez (93')
Sornoza (95')
Lopez (59' pen.)
Motta (72'), Maranhao (78'), Silva (79'), Castan (94')