Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Nov 9, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
3 - 0
Goias

Cano (78'), Carvalho (83'), Araujo (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Fluminense 3-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Goias

All competitions

Last Game: Goias 1-0 Juventude
Saturday, November 5 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Goias
68.67% ( 1.18)	18.42% ( -0.43)	12.91% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.49% (

0.14)

40.5% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.11% (

0.15)

62.88% (

-0.15)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

0.34)

10.75% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.28% (

0.77)

34.72% (

-0.77)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.33% (

-1.06)

42.67% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.98% (

-0.92)

79.01% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 68.65%

Goias 12.91%

Draw 18.42%

Fluminense	Draw	Goias
2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 68.65%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.42%	0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.91%