Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Botafogo logo

Fluminense
2 - 2
Botafogo

Ganso (76' pen.), Martins (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eduardo (41'), Jeffinho (52')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last Game: Avai 0-3 Fluminense
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Internacional
Sunday, October 16 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawBotafogo
51.78% (1.111 1.11)24.1% (-0.286 -0.29)24.11% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 53.71% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.455 0.45)47.77% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.416 0.42)69.96% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (0.607 0.61)18.44% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.39% (1.024 1.02)49.61% (-1.032 -1.03)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)34.14% (0.46100000000001 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (-0.506 -0.51)70.83% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 51.78%
    Botafogo 24.11%
    Draw 24.1%
FluminenseDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.11%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 8pm
Botafogo
0-1
Fluminense

Chay (70'), Carli (89'), Saravia (90+6')
Manoel (82')
Nonato (47'), Kennedy (90')
Jan 24, 2021 11.30pm
Fluminense
2-0
Botafogo
Lucca (67'), Silva (90+8' pen.)
Henrique (12'), Yago (54')

Forster (45+2')
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Botafogo
1-1
Fluminense
Alexandre (73')
Kevin (41' og.)
Araujo (65')
Oct 6, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
0-1
Fluminense

Gilson (40'), Vitinho (72'), Souza (88'), Carli (95')
Gonzalez (35')
Allan (88')
May 11, 2019 8pm
Fluminense
0-1
Botafogo

Sampaio (21'), Allan (91'), Luciano (96')
Santana (72')
Carli (24'), Erik (76'), Jonathan (89'), Bochecha (90'), Valencia (94')