Avai
Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
Fluminense

Avai
0 - 3
Fluminense

FT(HT: 0-2)
Cano (25'), Braz (41'), Martinelli (64')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Avai and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avai

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Avai
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Avai had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
AvaiDrawFluminense
31.73% (-0.195 -0.2)25.1% (-0.11 -0.11)43.17% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.405 0.41)47.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.374 0.37)69.4% (-0.381 -0.38)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.073000000000008 0.07)28.11% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.091999999999999 0.09)63.78% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.31 0.31)21.83% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.475 0.48)55.05% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Avai 31.73%
    Fluminense 43.17%
    Draw 25.1%
AvaiDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 11pm
Fluminense
2-0
Avai
Cano (5'), Martins (72')

Silva (75'), Raniele (77'), Chaves (87')
Dec 1, 2019 7pm
Avai
1-1
Fluminense
Paulo (92' pen.)
Leo (41'), Franco (63'), Paulo (76'), Soares (84')
Paulo (36')
Nene (35'), Claro (61'), Guilherme (77'), Felipe (91'), Allan (92')
Sep 3, 2019 12am
Fluminense
0-1
Avai

Allan (30'), Nino (75'), Caio (93')
Paulo (87' pen.)
Thalheimer (29')