Brasileiro | Gameweek 26

Sep 10, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Cano (11', 57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galhardo (51')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
55.25% ( 1.77)	23.87% ( -0.41)	20.87% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

0.16)

50.21% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.15)

72.17% (

-0.15)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

0.73)

18.04% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

1.24)

48.93% (

-1.24)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43% (

-1.26)

38.57% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

-1.22)

75.31% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 55.25%

Fortaleza 20.87%

Draw 23.87%

Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.25%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.87%