Brasileiro | Gameweek 20

Aug 2, 2022 at 12am UK

Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
2 - 2
Fluminense

Felipe (16'), Leonardo (86')
Madson (65'), Camacho (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ganso (71' pen.), Arias (72')
Paulista (66'), Ganso (72'), Andre (82'), Martins (90+6')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Fluminense
41.42% ( 2.74)	29.16% ( -0.48)	29.42% ( -2.26)

Both teams to score 43.18% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.7% (

0.96)

63.29% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.32% (

0.69)

82.68% (

-0.69)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

2.12)

30.13% (

-2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

2.47)

66.28% (

-2.47)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-1.21)

38.2% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

-1.18)

74.96% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

Santos 41.41%

Fluminense 29.41%

Draw 29.15%

Santos	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.15%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 29.41%