Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 2, 2022 at 11pm UK

Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
1 - 2
Flamengo

Zanocelo (66')
Jonatan (24'), Gabriel (43'), Camacho (55'), Zanocelo (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedro (18'), Barbosa (73')
Maia (63'), Barbosa (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bragantino	14	1	18
10	Flamengo	14	1	18
11	Botafogo	14	-3	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Santos	Draw	Flamengo
32.63% ( -0.75)	27.49% ( 0.64)	39.87% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

-2.6)

56.69% (

2.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

-2.13)

77.65% (

2.13)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-1.82)

32.28% (

1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-2.11)

68.78% (

2.11)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-1.16)

27.8% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-1.51)

63.39% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Santos 32.63%

Flamengo 39.86%

Draw 27.49%

Santos	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.86%