Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 30, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Santos

Tachira
1 - 1
Santos

Zanocelo (30' og.)
Flores (11'), Pallares (51'), Marrufo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angulo (86')
Vinicius (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Deportivo Tachira and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

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Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawSantos
35.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)27.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)37.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.82% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (0.050000000000004 0.05)56.97% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (0.039000000000001 0.04)77.88% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.049999999999997 0.05)29.61% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (0.059999999999995 0.06)65.64% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 35.33%
    Santos 37%
    Draw 27.66%
Deportivo TachiraDrawSantos
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.33%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Tachira vs Santos

Deportivo Tachira
20.0%
Draw
50.0%
Santos
30.0%
10