Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.