Santos
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
1 - 1
Tachira

Leonardo (69')
Leonardo (42'), Paulo (45+5'), Pires (71')
FT
(aet)
Uribe (27')
Flores (6'), Cova (24'), Uribe (45+7'), Chacon (59'), Mello (84')
Santos win 0-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santos and Deportivo Tachira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Deportivo Tachira

Last Six:
    Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 19.36%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

    Result
    SantosDrawDeportivo Tachira
    56.15% (-0.26 -0.26)24.49% (0.010000000000002 0.01)19.36% (0.248 0.25)
    Both teams to score 46.34% (0.353 0.35)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    45.61% (0.266 0.27)54.39% (-0.267 -0.27)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    24.24% (0.221 0.22)75.76% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
    Santos Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.72% (0.0020000000000095 0)19.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
    Deportivo Tachira Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    57.4% (0.438 0.44)42.6% (-0.438 -0.44)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    21.05% (0.371 0.37)78.95% (-0.37 -0.37)
    Score Analysis
        Santos 56.13%
        Deportivo Tachira 19.36%
        Draw 24.48%
    SantosDrawDeportivo Tachira
    1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.14 -0.14)
    2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.12 -0.12)
    2-1 @ 9.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
    3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
    3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
    3-2 @ 2.22% (0.031 0.03)
    4-1 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
    4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
    Other @ 2.89%
    Total : 56.13%
    		1-1 @ 11.53% (0.02 0.02)
    0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
    2-2 @ 4.05% (0.056 0.06)
    Other @ 0.69%
    Total : 24.48%
    		0-1 @ 7.01% (0.012 0.01)
    1-2 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
    0-2 @ 2.99% (0.041 0.04)
    1-3 @ 1.4% (0.036 0.04)
    2-3 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
    Other @ 1.89%
    Total : 19.36%

    How you voted: Santos vs Tachira

    Santos
    69.2%
    Draw
    15.4%
    Deportivo Tachira
    15.4%
    13
    Head to Head
    Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
    Tachira
    1-1
    Santos
    Zanocelo (30' og.)
    Flores (11'), Pallares (51'), Marrufo (90+2')
    Angulo (86')
    Vinicius (25')