The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Goias
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 13 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 13 | 5 | 21 |
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 13 | 3 | 18 |
We said: Corinthians 2-1 Santos
Playing without a naturalised defender may have worked for Bustos against Bragantino, but they still allowed some scoring opportunities, while benefitting from the fact that Braga leave many gaps behind their fullbacks. Peixe can expect less time in the final third against a Corinthians squad who close you down quickly and tend to capitalise on their opportunities. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Santos |
| 56.44% | 24.98% | 18.59% |
| Both teams to score 43.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
