Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.