Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 12, 2022 at 11pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Athletico PR

Pikachu (72')

Fernandes (50'), Cirino (82'), Erick (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
54.63% ( 0.38)	25.81% ( -0.15)	19.56% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.21% (

0.27)

58.79% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69% (

0.21)

79.31% (

-0.21)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

0.27)

21.63% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

0.41)

54.75% (

-0.41)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.06% (

-0.1)

44.94% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

-0.08)

80.89% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 54.62%

Athletico Paranaense 19.56%

Draw 25.8%

Fortaleza	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.62%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.56%