Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Fortaleza 1-1 Ceara
Fortaleza have only scored once at home in their previous three fixtures against Ceara, however, Vozao tend to start matches slowly, so we expect to see a relatively even game between a pair of sides who have struggled with consistency and quality throughout the campaign.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.