Alianza Lima vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.