Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 19, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
0 - 2
Fortaleza

Lavandeira (29'), Ballon (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moises (16'), Pikachu (80')
Marcelo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Alianza Lima and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Fortaleza
45.75% ( -0.14)	24.55% ( 0.02)	29.7% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0.04)

45.62% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

-0.04)

67.94% (

0.04)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

-0.08)

20.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75% (

-0.12)

52.25% (

0.12)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

0.06)

28.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

0.07)

64.51% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 45.75%

Fortaleza 29.7%

Draw 24.54%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Fortaleza
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.75%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.7%