Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 7, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Alianza Lima
0 - 1
River Plate

Josue Valenzuela Dileo (67'), Valenzuela (67'), Ballon (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Suarez (65')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	River Plate
24.58%	24.15%	51.27%

Both teams to score 54.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49%

47.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28%

69.72%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4%

33.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.76%

70.24%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47%

18.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.22%

49.78%

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 24.58%

River Plate 51.27%

Draw 24.14%

Alianza Lima	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.58%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.85% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.27%