Copa Libertadores
May 25, 2022 11.00pm
8
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Julian Alvarez 15' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 18' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 41' goal
  • Santiago Simon 53' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 54' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 57' goal
  • Elias Gomez 79' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 83' goal
  • yellowcard Yordi Vilchez 14'
  • yellowcard Arley Rodriguez 54'
  • goal Pablo Lavandeira 89'

River Plate vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2022 1.00am
River Plate 4 - 0 Colo-Colo

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2022 3.00am
Alianza Lima 0 - 2 Fortaleza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 58.88% (-0.03)
Draw 21.61% (+0.01)
Alianza Lima 19.51% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.64% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.36% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 35.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.77% (-0.03)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 85.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 58.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 41.65%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 64.53% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.47% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.77% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.23% (-0.04)

Score analysis

River Plate 58.88%
Draw 21.61%
Alianza Lima 19.51%
River Plate
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5%
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.61%
Alianza Lima
1-2 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 19.51%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 7, 2022 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Oswaldo Josue Valenzuela Dileo 67' yellowcard
  • Oswaldo Valenzuela 67' yellowcard
  • Josepmir Ballon 87' yellowcard
  • Marco Rodriguez 88' redcard
  • goal Matias Suarez 65'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
Apr 11, 2019 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matias Suarez 15' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 54' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 56' yellowcard
  • Javier Pinola 61' yellowcard
  • Nicolas De La Cruz 93' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Guidino 10'
  • yellowcard Francisco Duclos 24'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 79'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Mar 7, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Manzaneda 31' goal
  • Wilder Cartagena 71' yellowcard
  • Hansell Riojas 79' yellowcard
  • Felipe Rodriguez 81' yellowcard
  • Pedro Gallese 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Borre 79'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ferreira 86'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 87'
  • goal Cristian Ferreira 96'