Copa Libertadores
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Apr 27, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
-
Silvio Romero
50'
-
Hercules
79'
-
Pablo Lavandeira
70'
-
Arley Rodriguez
72'
-
Christian Ramos
87'
-
Pablo Miguez
90'
Fortaleza vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match.
Result
Fortaleza
52.39%
Draw
22.29%
Alianza Lima
25.31%
Both Teams to Score:
61.2%
Goals
Over 2.5
61.53%
Under 2.5
38.47%
Over 3.5
39.24%
Under 3.5
60.76%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
85.18%
Under 0.5
14.82%
Over 1.5
56.89%
Under 1.5
43.11%
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
71.85%
Under 0.5
28.15%
Over 1.5
36.17%
Under 1.5
63.83%
Score analysis
Fortaleza
52.39%
Draw
22.29%
Alianza Lima
25.31%
Fortaleza
2-1
@
9.64%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 52.39%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 52.39%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.29%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.29%
Alianza Lima
1-2
@
6.4%
0-1 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.31%