Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 27, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Alianza Lima

Romero (50'), Hercules (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lavandeira (70')
Rodriguez (72'), Ramos (87'), Miguez (90')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

Last Six:

Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Alianza Lima
52.39%	22.29%	25.31%

Both teams to score 61.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.53%

38.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24%

60.76%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.89%

43.11%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17%

63.83%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 52.39%

Alianza Lima 25.31%

Draw 22.29%

Fortaleza	Draw	Alianza Lima
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.12% Total : 52.39%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 6.4% 0-1 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.31%