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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 13, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
2 - 1
Alianza Lima

Martin Lucero (27'), Pavez (56')
Opazo (52'), Zaldivia (71'), Villanueva (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benitez (69')
Rodriguez (75'), Rojas (82'), Miguez (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Alianza Lima

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Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawAlianza Lima
46.9%22.58%30.51%
Both teams to score 64.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05%35.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96%58.03%
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2%15.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06%44.94%
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68%57.32%
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 46.9%
    Alianza Lima 30.51%
    Draw 22.58%
Colo-ColoDrawAlianza Lima
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 0.96%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 3.69%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Alianza Lima

Colo-Colo
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Alianza Lima
5.9%
51
rhs 2.0


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