Copa Libertadores
Sep 15, 2020 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Felipe Campos 10' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 51' goal
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 55' yellowcard
  • Esteban Paredes 62' goal
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Brayan Cortes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Pellistri 40'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Gonzalez 69'

Colo-Colo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 11, 2020 10.15pm
Colo-Colo 1 - 0 Athletico PR

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 11, 2020 10.15pm
Penarol 1 - 0 Wilstermann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result

Colo-Colo 43.2%
Draw 28.03%
Penarol 28.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.87%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.22%
Under 2.5 59.78%
Over 3.5 19.93%
Under 3.5 80.07%

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5 72.56%
Under 0.5 27.44%
Over 1.5 37.07%
Under 1.5 62.93%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 63.22%
Under 0.5 36.78%
Over 1.5 26.43%
Under 1.5 73.57%

Score analysis

Colo-Colo 43.2%
Draw 28.02%
Penarol 28.77%
Colo-Colo
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 43.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.02%
Penarol
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.77%