Nacional vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.