Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.