Nacional
5 - 1
Cerro

Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena Albistur (90+2'), Cartagena (90+2')
Vinicius (16'), Yacob (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cabrera (36' pen.)
Valentin Garcia Fernandez (42'), Garcia (42'), Agustin Hernandez Arrua (50'), Hernandez (50'), Cruz (61'), Bentaberry (66')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Cerro
48.02%	26.62%	25.36%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35%

56.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38%

77.61%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37%

23.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28%

57.72%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08%

37.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31%

74.69%

Score Analysis

Nacional 48.01%

Cerro 25.36%

Draw 26.62%

Nacional	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.36%