Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Nacional
1 - 1
Penarol

Bergessio (33')
Suarez (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Terans (81')
Alvarez (90')
Britos (62')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPenarol
43.94%27.25%28.81%
Both teams to score 48.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99%57.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09%77.91%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23%25.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28%60.72%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75%35.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99%72.01%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.93%
    Penarol 28.81%
    Draw 27.25%
NacionalDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 28.81%