Fenix
1 - 2
Nacional

Olivera (56')
Coelho (48'), Toledo (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (70'), Bergessio (90+4')
Yacob (43'), Neves (49'), Suarez (75')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Fenix	Draw	Nacional
18.63%	22.92%	58.44%

Both teams to score 49.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74%

49.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68%

71.31%

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.56%

40.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.95%

77.04%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45%

16.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68%

46.31%

Score Analysis

Fenix 18.63%

Nacional 58.43%

Draw 22.91%

Fenix	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.63%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 12.03% 0-2 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-4 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.64% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 58.43%