Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 29, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 0
Colo-Colo

Kagelmacher (23'), Torres (57'), Urreta (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carmona (3'), de la Fuente (64'), Fuentes (73'), Bolados (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Colo-Colo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawColo-Colo
47.83%27.39%24.78%
Both teams to score 44.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31%59.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20%80%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26%59.74%
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86%40.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22%76.78%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.83%
    Colo-Colo 24.78%
    Draw 27.37%
PenarolDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 13.92%
2-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.78%

rhs 2.0


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