Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Internacional (Brasil)

Colo-Colo
2 - 0
Internacional

Martin Lucero (12'), Solari (55')
Fuentes (62'), Martin Lucero (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gabriel (17'), Mauricio (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Colo-Colo and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Internacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawInternacional
26.85% (0.012 0.01)26.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.9% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)54.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (0.02600000000001 0.03)35.35% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)72.11% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.012 0.01)23.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 26.85%
    Internacional 46.9%
    Draw 26.24%
Colo-ColoDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.9%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Internacional

Colo-Colo
54.8%
Draw
16.1%
Internacional
29.0%
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